The 70 Percent Figure Everyone Quotes Was Never Measured
Mind · The Reading Room, Vol. 43 · 9 min read · what the evidence supports, where it thins, and one thing to write down tonight
Why do I feel like a fraud at work when the results are all there? It tracks evaluation, not ability. What the research shows, and what it still does not.
Based on the published research of
Kevin O. Cokley, PhD — University Diversity and Social Transformation Professor and Professor of Psychology and Education, University of Michigan. Historical source: Pauline Rose Clance, PhD, Professor Emerita of Psychology, Georgia State University. Co-discovered with Suzanne Imes, PhD.
Faculty page (U-M LSA Psychology) · Cokley on the impostor phenomenon · Clance faculty profile (Georgia State) · Clance biography · Official Clance IP Scale · Clance ResearchGate · Clance LinkedIn · Imes profile (Psychology Today)
The invitation says the board would like you to present in September. You read it twice. The second read is looking for the catch, or for a name in the CC line that explains how this came to you by mistake.
Then you open the calendar and block ninety minutes either side of a forty-five-minute slot, and you start building the case. The three-year numbers. The comparison against regional. The slide showing what the team delivered in Q1. Nobody asked for any of it. You want the folder open in case someone turns and asks what qualifies you to be standing there.
Nobody has ever asked. And if you have sat in a car park afterwards wondering why do I feel like a fraud at work after twenty-five years of doing it well, the useful news is that the thing you are describing has been studied since 1978, and most of what gets said about it in public is louder than the evidence underneath.
The short answer: the impostor phenomenon is an experience, not a diagnosis, and it appears alongside competence rather than in place of it. It arrives with evaluation.
The skim version
- It was named in a 1978 paper on high-achieving women. The entry condition for the study was achievement, not struggle.¹
- A 2020 systematic review of 62 studies covering 14,161 people found reported rates ranging from 9% to 82%, depending almost entirely on which questionnaire and which cutoff score was used.²
- Roughly half of all published research on it appeared between 2020 and 2022, which makes most of the evidence base younger than your current job.³
- In a 2022 study run across an investment management firm, a physician training programme and two online experiments, workplace impostor thoughts did not drag down job performance ratings.⁴
- It is not in the diagnostic manuals. Whether it should be is still an open argument among the researchers themselves.³
- What no study has measured: the 70% figure quoted in nearly every article about this. No representative population survey stands behind it.²
Where the feeling actually comes from · Why more achievement does not settle it · Why it got louder at fifty · What the 70% figure is built on · The twenty-minute file · Questions
Why do I feel like a fraud at work when the record says otherwise?
Because you are not disputing the record. You are disputing the cause.
Ask a woman in this position how a good year happened and listen to the verbs. The market was kind. The timing worked out. She had a strong team. Her predecessor left things in reasonable shape. Every one of those may be true, and not one of them is her.
Now ask the same woman about the quarter that went badly, and notice how the grammar changes. She should have seen it coming. She pushed too hard on the wrong account. She missed it.
That asymmetry is the mechanism. A good outcome is filed under circumstance. A bad outcome is filed under character. Run that split across twenty-five years and you end up with a career whose successes belong to the weather and whose failures belong to you.
What is worth noticing is that this is not humility, though it borrows the clothes. Humility applies the same standard to both columns.
The impostor phenomenon is the experience of being unable to internalise your own accomplishments, held alongside a persistent expectation of being exposed as less capable than other people believe you are.
Why does achieving more never close the case?
Because each new achievement gets processed by the same rule that discounted the last one. The board invitation does not arrive as evidence. It arrives as exposure, one level up, with more people in the room to notice.
This is the part that surprises anyone who has not lived it. From the outside, promotion looks like it should settle the question. From the inside it raises the stakes on a case you already believe you are losing.
The 1978 origin matters more than it usually gets credit for. Pauline Rose Clance and Suzanne Imes were not studying people who were failing. They were studying high-achieving women with degrees and titles and external evidence stacked behind them, none of which would stick internally.¹
Which means the folder you build before the board meeting is not preparation. It is bail.

| The impostor read | The attribution read | |
|---|---|---|
| A good result | Timing, luck, a strong team | Judgment you exercised, repeatedly, over years |
| A bad result | Confirmation of what you suspected | One data point among many |
| Being promoted | Higher stakes, more exposure | Repeated external assessment agreeing with itself |
| Preparing heavily | Necessary to avoid being found out | A substantial part of why the results happen |
| Being praised | They do not have the full picture | They have a picture you decline to look at |
The right-hand column is not positive thinking. It is the same evidence with the discount removed.
If the case has outlasted every piece of evidence brought against it, the Quiet Audit is ten minutes on when building the case first became useful. Start here.
Why did this get louder in your fifties, not quieter?
Several things converge, and none of them are about you getting worse at the job.
The rooms changed. Somewhere in the last decade you stopped being the person who executes and became the person who decides, and the evidence for a good decision is slower and murkier than the evidence for a delivered project. It used to be finished by Friday. Now you find out in eighteen months.
The audience changed. You are the most senior person in most rooms you enter now, which removes the comparison group that used to make your position feel ordinary.
And the recall changed. Word-finding slows in midlife, a name goes missing mid-sentence, and if you already suspect you are getting away with something, a two-second blank in a meeting reads as the beginning of the end rather than as a Tuesday. Two unrelated things, filed as one story.
The feeling tracks the evaluation, not the gap.
That is the finding underneath all of it. The current research reads the phenomenon as contextual rather than as a personal defect. Kevin Cokley and his colleagues at Michigan describe their own reframing of it as a matter of treating the experience “as a racialized and contextual experience, rather than an individual pathology” in the population they study. The general lesson holds beyond that population: what you are standing in, and who is assessing you, is part of the mechanism. Not just what is in your head.
What the research found
Clance & Imes, 1978. Described the pattern in high-achieving women who could not internalise external evidence of their own success.¹ Limitation: a clinical, self-selected sample from therapy and counselling settings, no control group, and no claim of prevalence anywhere in it.
Bravata et al., 2020, Journal of General Internal Medicine. 62 studies, 14,161 participants. The authors report that “prevalence rates of impostor syndrome varied widely from 9 to 82% largely depending on the screening tool and cutoff used to assess symptoms.”² Limitation: the review’s own conclusion is that the measurement is unstable, so the range is a finding about the instruments as much as about people.
Tewfik, 2022, Academy of Management Journal. Across employees at an investment management firm, physician trainees rated by patients, and two experiments, workplace impostor thoughts were associated with higher interpersonal effectiveness ratings without a drop in job performance.⁴ Limitation: this measured momentary impostor thoughts at work, which is not the same construct as a long-standing impostor self-view.
What the 70 percent figure is actually built on
You have read the number. Seventy percent of people experience impostor feelings at some point. It appears in business press, in conference talks, in the well-meaning email a colleague forwards you.
It is not a robust finding. It is a figure that has been passed hand to hand for decades without a representative population survey behind it. The most careful attempt to pin prevalence down, the 2020 review of 62 studies, could not produce a single number at all. The authors found that rates swung from 9% to 82% and that “there is considerable variation in how researchers interpret specific scores on the impostor syndrome diagnostic scales.”² Different cutoff points on the same questionnaire, applied to the same population, produced materially different prevalence estimates.
This matters to you for one specific reason. If the number were solid, the honest response to your own feeling would be a shrug: everyone has it, carry on. Because the number is soft, the shrug is not available, and the more interesting question comes back into view. Not how many people feel this. What makes it switch on in you, and when.
Research suggests the answer is evaluation. It shows up before the board meeting, before the review, before the room where somebody senior is forming a view. It does not show up on the Saturday you rewire a lamp.
We are not clinicians. We read the papers and translate them; the findings belong to Dr. Cokley and colleagues at the University of Michigan, and to the authors cited below, and the plain-English version is ours.
When this stops being a work pattern
The 2020 review notes that impostor feelings are “often comorbid with depression and anxiety.”² That is worth taking seriously if any of the following has been true for more than two weeks: low mood most days, waking at four and not getting back, losing interest in things that used to hold you, or thoughts that the people around you would be better off without you.
The terms to use at the appointment are depressive symptoms and generalised anxiety. A sentence that gets you screened rather than reassured: “I have had low mood and constant anxiety most days for more than two weeks, it is affecting my sleep and my work, and I would like to be screened for depression and an anxiety disorder.”
The one situation where the feeling is telling the truth
There is a version of this that deserves to be listened to rather than reframed, and skipping past it would be dishonest.
If you moved into a genuinely new domain in the last few months, took a role in an industry you have never worked in, or now oversee a function you have never personally done, then part of what you are feeling is accurate. You do not yet know what you will know in a year. That is the ordinary and entirely appropriate condition of being new.
The two are easy to separate once you look at the time axis. A real gap is specific, nameable and closing. You could write down the four things you still do not understand about the supply chain, and you could describe what you have learned about them since March.
The impostor version has no such list. It is not about any particular thing you cannot do. It is a verdict on the whole record, including the parts that went well, and it was running long before this job. If you can name the gap, it is a gap, and gaps close. If you cannot, you are dealing with the pattern.
The twenty minutes that works better than reassurance
You cannot argue your way out of this. Every attempt to reason with it hands the argument to the part of you that is better at building cases than anyone in the building.
So do not argue. Take dictation.
Open one document. Call it something boring. Write down, from memory, five decisions you made that turned out to be right. Not achievements. Not the promotion or the award. Decisions, where you chose one thing over another when the answer was not obvious, and where the outcome later confirmed you.
The hire nobody else wanted. The launch you pushed back a quarter. The client you declined. The restructure you argued against in a room where you were the only one arguing.
Date, decision, what happened after. Three lines each. Twenty minutes.
The reason this beats a list of accomplishments is that an outcome can be handed to luck and a decision cannot. A promotion can be explained away as timing. A good year can be explained away as market conditions. But a choice made under uncertainty, where you weighed it and picked, has no external factor available to receive the credit.
Then add one entry a month. Two minutes. It will feel self-indulgent for about three entries and then it will start feeling like a record.
If the feeling arrives mostly by comparison, watching a colleague who seems to move through all of this without effort, the mechanism there is different and worth reading separately, because you only ever see about an hour of anyone else’s day. And when a genuine win refuses to register at all, that is a different fault in the same wiring.
Questions women actually ask about this
Is impostor syndrome an actual diagnosis?
No. It is a described experience, not a disorder, and it does not appear in the diagnostic manuals. Whether it belongs in them is an argument the researchers are still having in print, alongside the question of whether the label unhelpfully locates the problem inside the individual.³
Is it true that 70% of people get it?
That figure circulates without a representative population study behind it. The 2020 systematic review of 62 studies found reported rates anywhere from 9% to 82%, driven mostly by which questionnaire and cutoff each study used.² The honest answer is that nobody has established a reliable prevalence number.
Does it ever go away?
For most people it quietens rather than disappears. What changes is the response. The feeling still arrives before the board meeting. You stop treating its arrival as information about your competence.
Does keeping a bit of it make me sharper?
The preparation makes you sharper. The 2022 workplace study found impostor thoughts did not reduce performance and were linked to better interpersonal ratings, so the feeling is not simply a defect.⁴ What it adds on top of the preparation is three sleepless nights, and the 2020 review links impostor feelings to burnout and reduced job satisfaction.² You would have done the preparation regardless. That is who you have been since you were twenty-eight.
Twenty-five years of results do not settle it, because the sentence was never asking for evidence. It belongs to a family of thoughts that arrive in your own voice and get believed for that reason alone.
The one move
Tonight, before you close the laptop, open a blank document and write one line: a decision you made that turned out to be right, with the date. One. Not five. The other four can wait for the weekend.
And if the habit of justifying yourself in advance turns out to be older than the job, the Quiet Audit is ten minutes of questions about where it came from, and who taught you that being competent was not, by itself, enough. No advice, no programme, just the document. Start here.
Sources for this article
Clance & Imes (1978), Psychotherapy: Theory, Research & Practice — the paper that named the phenomenon, in a sample of high-achieving women.
Cokley, Bernard, Stone-Sabali & Awad (2024), Annual Review of Clinical Psychology — the current state of the field, including the DSM and blame-the-victim controversies.
Bravata et al. (2020), Journal of General Internal Medicine — the systematic review behind the 9% to 82% range and the comorbidity note.
Tewfik (2022), Academy of Management Journal — workplace impostor thoughts, performance ratings and interpersonal effectiveness.
Who else has measured this
Basima Tewfik, PhD, MIT Sloan School of Management. Found that employees with workplace impostor thoughts were rated higher on interpersonal effectiveness without a performance penalty. Her explanation: “People who have workplace impostor thoughts become more other-oriented as a result of having these thoughts. As they become more other-oriented, they get evaluated as being higher in interpersonal effectiveness.”⁴
Basima Tewfik · Google Scholar · ORCID · ResearchGate · Thinkers50
Donte L. Bernard, PhD, Department of Psychological Sciences, University of Missouri. Has studied how the environment a person is assessed in, rather than the person alone, predicts impostor feelings and their effect on well-being.³
Donte Bernard · Google Scholar · ResearchGate · SRCD profile · LinkedIn · X/Twitter
Germine H. Awad, PhD, Department of Psychology, University of Michigan. Co-author of the 2024 review arguing the field needs new measures, because the existing scales are carrying more interpretive weight than they can bear.³
Germine Awad · Google Scholar · ResearchGate · LinkedIn · X/Twitter
Dena M. Bravata, MD, MS, then of Stanford University, lead author of the 2020 systematic review that established how unstable the prevalence estimates are across 62 studies and 14,161 participants.²
Dena Bravata · Stanford FSI profile · ResearchGate · Doximity
About the researcher
Kevin O. Cokley, PhD is University Diversity and Social Transformation Professor and Professor of Psychology and Education at the University of Michigan, where he also serves as Associate Chair for Diversity Initiatives and directs the Research on Race, Achievement, Culture, and Education lab. He took his doctorate in counseling psychology at Georgia State University, the same department where Pauline Rose Clance first described the phenomenon. His faculty page frames one of his two central research questions as “What is the nature of the impostor phenomenon, and what role does it play in the academic outcomes and mental health of African American and other racially minoritized students?” He edited The Impostor Phenomenon: Psychological Research, Theory, and Interventions, published by the American Psychological Association. University of Michigan faculty page · Wikipedia · Google Scholar · ResearchGate · APA Division 17 profile · His book (Amazon) · LinkedIn · X/Twitter
On the researcher. Kevin Cokley studies the impostor phenomenon mostly in racially minoritized students; the prevalence figures across the wider field range from 9 to 82 percent depending on the measure used, and this article does not treat any single number as settled.
Disclosure
This article is informational and is not medical advice. See your clinician about anything described here that concerns you.
We are not clinicians, and Blue Leaf Journal does not provide treatment.
We have no affiliation with, and no endorsement from, Kevin Cokley, Pauline Rose Clance, Suzanne Imes, Basima Tewfik, Donte Bernard, Germine Awad, Dena Bravata, the University of Michigan, Georgia State University, MIT, the University of Missouri or Stanford University.
No commercial relationship exists with any person, institution, publisher or product named in this article.
How this was checked: every study and quotation here was read at the source linked above, and every figure was confirmed against the published paper, on 3 September 2026. Corrections are welcome and will be made and dated in place. Write to corrections@blueleafjournal.com.
References
1. Clance, P. R., & Imes, S. A. (1978). The imposter phenomenon in high achieving women: Dynamics and therapeutic intervention. Psychotherapy: Theory, Research & Practice, 15(3), 241–247.
2. Bravata, D. M., Watts, S. A., Keefer, A. L., et al. (2020). Prevalence, Predictors, and Treatment of Impostor Syndrome: a Systematic Review. Journal of General Internal Medicine, 35, 1252–1275.
3. Cokley, K. O., Bernard, D. L., Stone-Sabali, S., & Awad, G. H. (2024). Impostor Phenomenon in Racially/Ethnically Minoritized Groups: Current Knowledge and Future Directions. Annual Review of Clinical Psychology, 20, 407–430.
4. Tewfik, B. A. (2022). The Impostor Phenomenon Revisited: Examining the Relationship between Workplace Impostor Thoughts and Interpersonal Effectiveness at Work. Academy of Management Journal.
Keep reading
Written by Nora Whitfield for Blue Leaf Journal. Updated: September 3, 2026.






